Big Ten football goes under the lights in a cross-divisional matchup pitting West Division leader Wisconsin at home against No. 3 ranked, undefeated Ohio State on Saturday. Wisconsin is 3-1 in Big Ten play and sits in first-place in the West despite losing to Iowa, which has two losses in conference games Badgers needed an 18-point fourth quarterback comeback to take down Illinois Buckeyes moved to 7-0 overall and 4-0 in Big Ten games after a statement win over East rival Penn State last week Ohio State sits at 3rd in scoring defense allowing 10 points per game but ranks 101st in rushing with prominent injuries at running back What can we expect in this matchup? Let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model OHIO STATE VS. WISCONSIN PREDICTIONS
The simulations favor Ohio State to defeat Wisconsin and stay undefeated this week. SP+ predicts that the Buckeyes will take down the Badgers by a projected score of 28 to 19 with an expected point margin of 9.1 points in the game. The model suggests Ohio State has a 70 percent chance to win the game outright.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.” How accurate is the model? So far, SP+ is 212-207-11 (50.6%) straight-up and 200-222-8 (47.4%) against the spread this season. POINT SPREAD Ohio State is a 14.5 point favorite against Wisconsin, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 45.5 points for the game. SI lists the moneyline odds as Ohio State -800 and Wisconsin +450. If you’re using this projection to bet on the game, you should take… Wisconsin +14.5 OSU on the ML at -800 Bet over 45.5 points
COMPUTER PREDICTIONS Other analytic tools also forecast Ohio State will beat Wisconsin.
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